Will the Bull Stick Around?

The market reversal from bear to bull has occurred,technology stocks are looking good. They have
but will the current rally be sustainable? This is astrong technology and sound balance sheets.
question that I have wondered about for quite someThe markets are trending higher. At this point, about
time, since the current rally first began in early March.48% of all U.S. stocks are above the 200-day moving
With major market indices up over 30% from theaverage, up from 33% a week earlier and from 22%
March low, it looks like the rally is real and coulda month ago. The same goes for the shorter-term
extend higher in the near term. Yet, at the samemoving averages. For the market sentiment to
time, there continues to be market risk that couldimprove, we need to see the moving average
drive stocks back down. You should be aware of this.continuing to trend higher
The U.S. housing and jobs area continues to be weakInvestor sentiment continues to show signs of
and, while there have been some positive signs inimprovement. The NYSE has been bullish for the past
housing, we still need to see a positive trend develop.17 straight sessions, while the NASDAQ has been in
On Monday, there was more evidence of12 of the past 17 sessions. These numbers are
improvement in the U.S. economy that is helping toencouraging.
drive some optimism that the worst may be overThe Commodity Research Bureau (CRB) Index is
and stocks may be set to continue the rally. U.S.trending higher on expectations that global demand
home sales were stronger in March due to thefor commodities will recover.
combination of reduced interest rates and cheapWhile there continues to be market risk, the
housing prices. Construction spending also increasedinvestment climate is better now, yet I still get a
and this may reflect the impact of the government'ssense we could see another sell-off at some point. I
massive stimulus program. We have said the key willcould be wrong, but, should this happen, it could set
be the impact of President Obama's economicup a nice buying opportunity.
stimulus plan, as it filters through the economy, andProfit Confidential
now it looks like it is showing some positive signs.LOMBARDI PUBLISHING CORPORATION
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there could be a move into positive territory laterCopyright 2008; Lombardi Publishing Corporation. All
this week. Technology continues to providerights reserved. No part of this e-newsletter may be
leadership, with the NASDAQ up nearly 12% in 2009.used or reproduced in any manner or means, including
I feel that technology will continue to be the driverprint, electronic, mechanical, or by any information
of stocks due to the innovation in the sector.storage and retrieval system whatsoever, without
Companies will continue to look for the next greatwritten permission from the copyright holder.
technology and investors will buy it. Even large-cap